The quickest strategy to fall behind in a fantasy football league is to turn into complacent and depend on the staff you drafted, neglecting the all-important waiver wire. As managers make quite a few waiver claims for Week 2, hoping to strengthen their roster, ought to Detroit Lions RB Jamaal Williams be a precedence addition off the waiver wire vs. Washington?
Jamaal Williams joins the waiver wire dialogue after an lively Week 1
Week 1 was full of performances we didn’t see coming. A type of being Detroit’s three-point loss in a 38-35 shootout with Philadelphia. Positive, the Lions have been anticipated to be improved, however to not this extent. Nonetheless, don’t depend on this being a norm because the Lions — just like the Eagles — spent some time placing collectively this sport plan. They gained’t have that very same luxurious now.
One of many many gamers who had a constructive efficiency and slid in drafts is Williams. And based mostly on his utilization, he’ll be a preferred waiver wire choose for fantasy soccer in Week 2.
Splitting time with D’Andre Swift — who went off in Week 1 — each operating backs noticed double-digit carries, with Williams recording 11 to Swift’s 15. The distinction, although, is within the effectivity, which isn’t even remotely shut. Whereas Swift totaled 144 yards on the bottom, Williams had solely 28. With that stated, he scored two touchdowns, each approaching one-yard carries.
Quick space and goal-line carries are the place Williams had the sting. He snuck out a two-to-one benefit on brief yardage and led 4 to at least one on goal-line carries, changing two of them. Nonetheless, Swift did have the lead in all others by a convincing margin. He led Williams 47 to 23 in complete snaps, 23 to 18 on first and second-down snaps, shut him out 12 to zero on third down, and ran 26 routes to Williams’ 11.
Oddly sufficient, I don’t suppose it is a unhealthy factor. If something, that is what we anticipated to occur. Swift is the first rusher and a not-so-darkhorse top-three RB candidate due to his receiving abilities with targets roughly 2.5x extra helpful than a carry.
In distinction, Williams sees his utilization as extra of a pure rusher, getting downhill when the Lions want a conversion. It’s a sample that’s repeatable and retains Williams in fantasy consideration.
Ought to Williams be a precedence waiver wire declare in Week 2 for fantasy?
Whereas I don’t really feel he must be the highest declare this week at RB, that going to Jeff Wilson Jr. of the 49ers, Williams (35.3% rostered) must be inside the highest 5 at his place. Relying on the dimensions of your league and rosters, Williams, together with Jaylen Warren (1.4%), Khalil Herbert (24.7%), and Rex Burkhead (17.2%), are all choices with various ranges of upside and worth longevity.
I might additionally double-check to see if Brian Robinson is floating round. Rostered in 38% of leagues, he might return earlier than the halfway level, and when you have IR spots at your disposal, he’s the proper stash.
The Lions like Williams loads, and he has remained undervalued for fantasy, even going again to final season. In Weeks 12, 13, and 16 — when Swift was out on account of an AC joint sprain — Williams averaged 17 carries and 71 yards a sport regardless of additionally coping with a hip and thigh concern, plus having had COVID within the again half of the season.
For Williams to have Flex worth at a minimal, the Lions have to have video games like this, the place they’re aggressive late into the sport and don’t should abandon the operating sport, one thing Dan Campbell desires to be a calling card for this offense.
Taking over Washington this week, Detroit ought to be capable to keep on this one as nicely. Actually, early traces have the Lions a 1.5-point favourite at house in an above-average scoring contest (O/U 49.5). Washington did maintain Christian McCaffrey to 33 yards in Week 1 on 10 carries, however as a staff, Carolina solely rushed 14 occasions. And with it being McCaffrey’s first motion, it was tough to get him and the offense right into a rhythm.
Williams comes into the week because the RB41 and will see double-digit touches in Week 2. His worth will at all times be touchdown-dependent because of the lack of targets and dashing market share. However Williams is a participant who must be picked up off the waiver wire even for those who’re not beginning him, as his worth might enhance down the road.