For those who’re planning to make prop bets or another wagers on season-long NFL participant manufacturing, listed here are our instructed bets for a few of the San Francisco 49ers’ high playmakers. All prop bets are based mostly on FanDuel over/unders, that includes Trey Lance, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle.
High 49ers prop bets for 2022
The next NFL betting suggestions are based mostly on 10 years of NFL analysis analyzing the correlation between preseason expectations and outcomes. Age, sturdiness, shifting personnel, schedule, and different elements assist form these assessments.
The Trey Lance period has begun, and when you had been bullish about him final 12 months, presumably little has modified this 12 months. I used to be all-in on Lance final summer season as a future top-five NFL quarterback within the vein of a peak-performing Lamar Jackson. 400+ fantasy factors sometime are lifelike.
On the betting aspect, we must always anticipate rising pains. Since graduating highschool, Lance has began a grand whole of 19 video games, together with solely three within the final two seasons overlapping together with his last (abridged) North Dakota State marketing campaign. It’s a race to see whether or not uncooked skills can overcome inexperience. Given the expertise that surrounds him, I’m very comfy with projections of 200+ passing yards and 1.3+ passing TDs per recreation.
Passing yards: Over 3,300.5
Passing TDs: Over 21.5
Interceptions: Over 12.5
In terms of Deebo Samuel, bettors have a extra advanced set of standards to judge. He had 77 catches and 59 carries final 12 months. FanDuel’s props assume extra of the identical. From my perspective, the safer wager is to imagine a shift right into a extra conventional receiver position.
Which means far fewer carries, which isn’t laborious to ascertain when weighing the affect of the run-friendly Lance. Moreover, the more healthy Jeff Wilson and underappreciated Trey Sermon — together with intriguing rookie Tyrion Davis-Value — give this group much more RB depth alongside Elijah Mitchell.
Samuel stays an elite, or at the least a near-elite, NFL wideout. However his days as a dual-threat playmaker may be drawing to a detailed, at the least whereas he’s in a Niners uniform. I’m bullish about his conservative receiving projections — which assumes Lance may have hassle getting him the ball — and I’m fading laborious on his less-realistic speeding projections.
Receiving yards: Over 925.5
Receiving TDs: Over 5.5
Dashing yards: Below 381.5
Dashing TDs: Below 4.5
Since getting into the league as a fifth-round draft choose in 2017, George Kittle has asserted himself as one of many NFL’s high tight ends. Regardless of being a relative late-bloomer (he turned 24 early in his rookie marketing campaign), on a per-game foundation, few TEs have matched his brilliance. For context, within the final 4 seasons, the All-World Travis Kelce has averaged 6.3 catches for 81 yards per recreation. Kittle has averaged 5.6 catches for 76 yards per recreation.
The knock on Kittle has been sturdiness. Betting on him means wagering he’ll be wholesome for a lot of the season. He missed three video games final 12 months and eight the 12 months earlier than, in addition to two the 12 months earlier than that. So nobody can probably understand how his well being will maintain up this season. That mentioned, harm issues are already baked into his props. As one of many league’s highest-volume TEs and a veteran in a really youthful receiving corps, Kittle ought to set up a stable rapport with Lance.
Receiving yards: Over 800.5
Receiving TDs: Over 5.5