Should you’re planning to make prop bets or some other wagers on season-long NFL participant manufacturing, listed below are our recommended bets for a number of the Baltimore Ravens’ prime playmakers. All prop bets are based mostly on FanDuel over/unders, that includes Lamar Jackson, Rashod Bateman, and Mark Andrews.
Prime Ravens prop bets for 2022
The next NFL betting suggestions are based mostly on 10 years of NFL analysis analyzing the correlation between preseason expectations and outcomes. Age, sturdiness, shifting personnel, schedule, and different components assist form these assessments.
Full disclosure: I’m down on Lamar Jackson this 12 months. He’s very proficient, and he additionally lacks the receiving weapons that almost all different top-14 QBs have. On this article, I’ll deal with the 2 receivers most definitely to hold him. But it surely wouldn’t be unreasonable to counsel his 2019 marketing campaign will find yourself being his finest statistically. That 12 months, he handed for 3,127 yards and 36 TDs on a measly 26.7 makes an attempt per sport.
However the subsequent 12 months, he averaged solely 25.1 makes an attempt. Final 12 months spiked to 31.8 as a result of his prime three RBs had been knocked out for the season, the Ravens’ protection was the worst it’s been in years, and Jackson had three excellent receivers to throw to. This 12 months, his backfield is sort of at full power, with two key additions, and he has one much less “nice” goal and an improved protection.
It is a recipe for a return to a run-friendly scheme. Whereas Jackson would possibly eclipse 30 makes an attempt in some video games, I see him as extra of a situational passer, like he was in 2019 and 2020. Consequently, I’m recommending the next props.
Passing yards: Underneath 3,500.5
Passing TDs: Underneath 24.5
Interceptions: Underneath 12.5
As of mid-August, Devin Duvernay and James Proche have been battling for the No. 2 WR position. In fact, Marquise Brown has reunited together with his school quarterback in Arizona. And Rashod Bateman is Baltimore’s latest clear-cut No. 1 WR. What does this imply?
Properly, in the event you consider in Bateman like I do, his prop line is manner off. He would possibly really be a extra proficient receiver than Brown, although we’ll know for positive within the subsequent couple of years. For now, we should always perceive that it’s uncommon for a group to not have no less than one WR exceed 825 receiving yards. Final 12 months, 35 gamers surpassed this mark. The 12 months earlier than, 36. It could take a critical harm or a wildly surprising depth chart shakeup for Bateman to fall wanting market expectations.
Receiving yards: Over 825.5
Receiving TDs: Over 4.5
Mark Andrews nearly single-handedly led me to the fantasy title final 12 months. However that gained’t cease me from being goal. Sure, Andrews had a TE season for the ages in 2021. He went from a “very strong” 58-701-7 receiving line in 14 video games the 12 months earlier than to a “almost historic” 107-1,361-9 line. This type of blowup typically resets the market, and it definitely did in Andrews’ case, as he’s the consensus TE2 in fantasy circles.
Curiously, FanDuel doesn’t provide a receiving yards prop for him, perhaps as a result of there are too many unknowns about promising rookie Isaiah Possible’s position and the way a lot receiving work J.Ok. Dobbins and Co. will earn. A lot may change all through August, therefore the hesitancy to ascertain a transparent line. However his TD prop appears very stage. It truthfully may go both manner.
However right here’s my tiebreaker. Final 12 months, Andrews was No. 1 amongst TEs in appears to be like contained in the 20- and 10-yard strains. Actually, all 9 of his scores got here contained in the pink zone, and solely 5 of them had been thrown by Jackson. The Ravens’ backup QBs leaned much more closely on Andrews than Jackson did — not simply within the pink zone however all around the discipline. With Jackson wholesome and again underneath middle, I’m not satisfied Andrews can recapture the magic of 2021.
Receiving TDs: Underneath 8.5