For those who’re planning to make prop bets or every other wagers on season-long NFL participant manufacturing, listed here are our urged 2022 bets for some key Buffalo Payments’ playmakers. All prop bets are primarily based on FanDuel over/unders, that includes Josh Allen, Devin Singletary, Stefon Diggs, and Gabriel Davis.
Prime Buffalo Payments prop bets for 2022
The next NFL betting suggestions are primarily based on 10 years of NFL analysis analyzing the correlation between preseason expectations and outcomes. Age, sturdiness, shifting personnel, schedule, and different elements assist form these assessments.
Josh Allen’s ascension from struggling rookie to (arguably) No. 1 QB has been outstanding. Past the distinctive stats, nonetheless, lies some uncertainty heading into 2022. His No. 2 and No. 3 receivers from final 12 months (Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley) are gone. Gabriel Davis ought to step up, whereas newcomers Jamison Crowder and rookie Khalil Shakir are anticipated to assist fill the hole.
However whereas Allen’s speeding numbers spiked final season, his per-game passing numbers declined throughout all main classes in comparison with 2020 regardless of averaging two extra cross makes an attempt per contest. He labored more durable and achieved much less.
So was 2020 Allen’s apex? Or was 2021 a brief and minor setback? I’m comfy betting on his greatness, however I’m not comfy betting on him as soon as once more ending within the prime 5 in cross makes an attempt. One other regression is extra probably.
Passing yards: Beneath 4,320.5
Passing TDs: Beneath 34.5
Interceptions: Beneath 13.5
Some readers may recall I used to be apoplectic concerning the Payments not committing to Devin Singletary early final season. And I didn’t have any “shares” in Singletary in fantasy or betting.
However throughout practically each metric, Singletary appeared just like the superior again over Zack Moss. But, when Buffalo was 7-6 and on the verge of in some way lacking the playoffs, they lastly handed the ball to Singletary, who proved his price as a bell cow within the last 4 regular-season video games.
This season, the backfield state of affairs is extra sophisticated. Moss continues to loom, and extra importantly, rookie James Cook dinner is a legit expertise who might simply cap Singletary’s ceiling out of the gate. Add to that the fixed concern of Allen working wild, and we have now the makings of one other cluttered speeding assault.
Consequently, whereas 42 speeding yards a sport for Singletary is completely doable, the danger of a timeshare position pushes his reasonable flooring comfortably beneath that mark.
Dashing yards: Beneath 700.5
Stefon Diggs has two straight 1,200+ yard campaigns with the Payments. Can he make it three in a row? The betting market suggests he ought to. However for causes shared above, I’m not so certain.
For those who consider Allen will proceed slinging it at a near-league-high charge, then Diggs needs to be the largest beneficiary. Nevertheless, for those who consider as I do this this passing assault will gradual a bit, and that Davis will push Diggs in methods Sanders and Beasley by no means might, then Buffalo’s perennial WR1 is primed for a minimum of a slight statistical pull-back.
Receiving yards: Beneath 1,200.5
Receiving TDs: Beneath 8.5
See above. For us to purchase into Davis’ Yr 3 ascension, he didn’t must go off for 201 yards and 4 touchdowns towards the Chiefs in final season’s playoffs. Nevertheless it certain didn’t damage.
Davis ceaselessly operated because the No. 4 WR final 12 months. Not. Each week, he’ll be a blow-up sport ready to occur. His prop bets assume modest progress. On the yardage aspect, I’m anticipating greater than that.
Receiving yards: Over 850.5
Receiving TDs: Beneath 7.5