The 2022 Indianapolis Colts are hoping their third quarterback in as a few years is lastly the one to take this franchise to the Tremendous Bowl. The Colts traded Carson Wentz for veteran Matt Ryan after a disastrous two-game skid on the finish 2021 season value the franchise a return to the playoffs. Expectations have modified with the extra constant Ryan and a number of other different playmakers added to the roster.
We are going to look at the Colts’ present report prediction, projected win totals, any intriguing prop bets involving the franchise, and their odds to win the division, convention, and Super Bowl in 2023.
All odds are from Caesars Sportsbook until in any other case said and are appropriate as of July 21 at 12 p.m. ET.
Indianapolis Colts report prediction 2022
Following the discharge of the NFL schedule, Caesars has offered odds and spreads for all the Colts’ 2022 regular-season matchups. Based mostly on these numbers, the Colts are projected as favorites in 9 video games, underdogs in 5, and decide ’ems in three. If the season matches these predictions, the Colts will end with a 9-5-3 report following Week 18 of the 2022 season.
That might be fairly the weird report since no crew has had two ties in a single season since additional time was adopted in 1974. In fact, a decide ’em line isn’t a projected tie however a recreation through which a favourite has not been established. These could be nice alternatives for bettors.
The Colts made only some strikes this previous offseason, however they had been impactful. Common supervisor Chris Ballard pulled the plug on the Wentz experiment after one season the place he posted respectable numbers. However clearly, there was extra to the on-field play since Wentz was a web optimistic till the ultimate two weeks of the season. The Colts traded Wentz to the Washington Commanders with no clear successor lined up.
They lucked into Ryan after the Atlanta Falcons struck out of their pursuit of Deshaun Watson. Ryan is a significantly better slot in head coach Frank Reich’s system because of his pre-snap capability to learn defenses and accuracy whereas concentrating on tightly-covered receivers. Even at 37 years previous, Ryan is a good recreation supervisor.
Indianapolis additionally properly beefed up their protection with veteran cornerback Stephon Gilmore and edge rusher Yannick Ngakoue. Each will increase positions of main significance and wish for 2022. Total, between free company and the draft, I really like what the Colts did.
The AFC South is the worst of any division within the convention, however that doesn’t imply it’ll be a cakewalk for the Colts. 11 of their 17 video games function a selection of three factors or much less on both sides. Meaning the Colts should win shut video games successfully, or the Tennessee Titans might have the higher hand within the divisional race.
Colts odds, picks, and props
Now we all know the sportsbooks prediction for the Colts on a week-by-week foundation. Let’s check out their season-long odds for win totals, the division, the convention, and the Tremendous Bowl.
- Colts win whole: 10 (Over -105, Below -115)
- Colts to make the playoffs: Sure -175
- AFC South winner: -125
- AFC winner: +1200
- Tremendous Bowl winner: +2200
Oddsmakers have taken a cautious strategy with the AFC South for 2022. There’s actually respect for the Titans constructed into the Colts’ win whole and divisional odds. That’s honest, contemplating the Titans can win the South if Derrick Henry stays wholesome and Ryan Tannehill performs to his 2020 degree.
Nonetheless, that’s the one pathway for Tennessee to be within the combine if the Colts keep wholesome. Indianapolis was a top-10 offensive and defensive crew final yr and upgraded their largest positions of want. Their surprising Week 18 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars ended their season prematurely.
Issues will likely be totally different in 2022 so long as Jonathan Taylor stays wholesome. The Colts had inconsistent play at three of probably the most important positions in soccer: quarterback, cornerback, and edge rusher. No less than two of these positions have been considerably bolstered.
For as a lot as I just like the Colts’ capability to win the division, in addition they have a marked ceiling with Ryan and an absence of higher-upside receivers and defenders. Ryan is a strong performer, however he’d be the fourth-best quarterback within the AFC North and fifth-best within the AFC West. It will develop into an issue by the Divisional Spherical of the playoffs.
Colts MVP odds and participant props
The Colts’ MVP and participant props choices are huge. They’ve clear stars who they are going to depend on, and we will depend on a observe report of efficiency and utilization to make knowledgeable choices. We should keep away from projecting Ryan’s previous high-volume utilization right into a conservative scheme.
The Colts aren’t deep with playmakers, so we’re specializing in the family names for our prop performs. Meaning Ryan, Taylor, and Michael Pittman Jr. are the one worthy investments on offense. The Colts had attention-grabbing defensive props as nicely.
- MVP
Matt Ryan +3500 - Offensive Participant of the 12 months
Jonathan Taylor +1000 - Matt Ryan regular-season passing yards
Over/Below 3,900.5 (-110) - Jonathan Taylor regular-season dashing yards
Over/Below 1,450.5 (-115) - Bobby Okereke regular-season whole tackles
Over/Below 109.5 (-115) - Darius Leonard regular-season whole tackles
Over/Below 137.5 (-115)
Final yr’s offense was a return to the early 2010s stylistically. All the pieces ran by means of Taylor. Taylor was glorious, dashing for 1,811 yards and 18 scores.
Whereas Taylor continues to be the focus of the offense, the performance of the unit will change. As a substitute of Taylor making Wentz higher and creating alternatives, Ryan will likely be extra of the catalyst for the unit. Ryan’s passing capability will power defenses to respect the specter of play motion as a result of Ryan is a greater QB in construction than Wentz.
The younger receiving corps will profit probably the most from Ryan’s presence. Pittman will likely be a star with Ryan’s precision and timing. Rookie Alec Pierce is usually a downfield playmaker for Ryan to focus on. Hopefully, we’ll get a full season from Parris Campbell as nicely.
However none of which means we must always drastically change particular person projections, simply that the crew itself will run smoother.
The defensive props are fascinating. Oddsmakers primarily flipped the sort out totals for Bobby Okereke and Darius Leonard, which may very well be a play on the general public’s familiarity with their roles and efficiency. Leonard is the celebrity of the 2 however had 10 fewer tackles than his teammate and was 15 shy of this line.
Colts 2022 picks
- Colts over 10 wins: -105
- Colts win the AFC South: -175
- Ryan underneath 3,900.5 passing yards: -110
- Taylor over 1,450.5 dashing yards: -115
- Okereke over 109.5 whole tackles: -115
- Leonard underneath 137.5 whole tackles: -115
Aided by the NFL’s second-easiest schedule in 2022, the Colts are set to have a formidable common season. Ryan has been a constant power all through his profession, changing a regularly unstable on-field performer and off-field presence in Wentz. That change will assist keep away from the handful of unhealthy losses that value the Colts in 2021.
The Colts have two robust stretches of video games. From Weeks 3-5, they host Kansas Metropolis and Tennessee after which go to Denver for Thursday Evening Soccer. Then, beginning in Week 10, the Colts go to Las Vegas, host Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, and journey to Dallas earlier than their bye week.
If Indianapolis wins a type of video games, they are going to push their whole of 10 wins as a result of the Colts will likely be favorites in each different matchup on their schedule. Each win past that’s gravy. 10 or extra victories also needs to lead the division for the reason that Titans have taken a transparent step again from final yr’s crew.
Wentz completed sixteenth in move makes an attempt final season, and Ryan will seemingly replicate that quantity. Merely put, Ryan will likely be higher at it. Nonetheless, Wentz solely had 3,563 yards regardless of a good yards-per-attempt mark. The addition of Pierce gained’t be sufficient for Ryan to generate the 348 passing yards wanted to hit the over on yards.
Taylor will proceed to be fed the ball with regularity. The one approach he doesn’t clear this low whole is that if he suffers a serious damage. The Colts nonetheless have among the best offensive strains in soccer, a workers that desires to run, and a quarterback who has solely benefitted from an elite dashing assault twice since coming into the league.
The ultimate two props are intertwined. There’s no motive we must always count on Okereke to drop virtually 20 tackles outdoors of damage, contemplating his position as a downhill thumper.
Leonard might ascend to greater than 137.5 tackles, however he’s completed with 121, 132, and 122 whole tackles over the past three seasons. We’re merely enjoying the current manufacturing for Leonard. He’s additionally missed at the least one recreation yearly. Betting on excellent well being for him merely doesn’t make sense with the data we’ve.
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