After three consecutive years with 13 regular-season wins, the Inexperienced Bay Packers hope to translate that success right into a Tremendous Bowl 57 look. It’s been 11 years because the Packers had been within the Tremendous Bowl regardless of making the playoffs in all however two of these seasons. We’re going to look at the Packers’ current record prediction, their projected win totals, any intriguing prop bets involving the franchise, and their odds to win the division, convention, and Super Bowl in 2023.
All odds are from Caesars Sportsbook except in any other case said and are appropriate as of July 21 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Inexperienced Bay Packers file prediction 2022
Following the discharge of the NFL schedule, Caesars has offered odds and spreads for all the Packers’ 2022 regular-season matchups. Based mostly on these numbers, the Packers are projected as favorites in 12 video games, underdogs in three, and two choose ’ems. If the season matches these predictions, the Packers will end the 2022 NFL marketing campaign with a 12-3-2 file.
The Packers survived an offseason that featured one other batch of drama stemming from franchise quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers in the end obtained a three-year, $150.8 million extension after threatening to retire. Sadly for Rodgers, the Packers had been unable to persuade All-Professional broad receiver Davante Adams to remain.
Adams was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders in change for draft picks that finally grew to become linebacker Quay Walker (No. 22 general) and receiver Christian Watson (No. 34). The Packers packaged two second-round picks as a way to transfer up for Watson.
A lot of the Packers’ 2021 roster returned in addition to Adams. Basic supervisor Brian Gutekunst impressively retained All-Professional linebacker De’Vondre Campbell and cornerback Rasul Douglas. Dropping Adams was by far essentially the most important loss.
The NFC North shouldn’t be significantly threatening, even with Adams in Sin Metropolis. The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears are rebuilding. The Minnesota Vikings have a brand new head coach and introduced their veterans again, however their weak secondary will hold them from competing for the divisional title.
Inexperienced Bay is an NFC North favourite as soon as once more. Solely 4 of their video games function a ramification of three factors or much less on both facet. They’re both important favorites or thought of behind the highest Tremendous Bowl contenders by way of expertise.
Few groups have a schedule as favorable as Inexperienced Bay. Their most tough stretch is available in November as they host Dallas and Tennessee earlier than taking part in at Philadelphia. The Titans recreation is on Thursday Evening Soccer, and the Eagles matchup is on Sunday Evening Soccer.
Packers odds, picks, and props
Now we all know the sportsbooks prediction for the Packers on a week-by-week foundation. Let’s check out their season-long odds for win totals, the division, the convention, and the Tremendous Bowl.
- Packers win whole: 11 (-110)
- Most wins: +650
- NFC North winner: -190
- NFC winner: +450
- Tremendous Bowl winner: +1000
The Packers are thought of an NFC heavyweight regardless of their struggles within the playoffs during the last three years. Shockingly, they’ve the second-best odds within the convention to characterize the NFC within the Tremendous Bowl. It’s tough to seek out worth betting on a favourite.
Nonetheless, the NFC North’s make-up and the Packers’ schedule are extremely type to the franchise. We will moderately anticipate the Packers’ offensive ceiling to be decrease with out Adams however nonetheless adequate to enrich the most effective defenses within the NFL. Oddsmakers have proven an understanding of Inexperienced Bay’s lack of playmaking receivers if we take a look at the sport spreads towards high competitors.
The Packers’ defensive continuity and powerful working recreation will carry the workforce by means of the common season. We don’t must make a lot projection with this workforce. We all know what they’ll do, and their system will run comparatively clean even with out Adams creating huge performs out of the construction.
Inexperienced Bay will simply win the division however betting on greater accomplishments is a tricky proposition.
Packers MVP odds and participant props
The Packers’ MVP candidate is clear, contemplating that Rodgers has received the award 4 occasions in back-to-back years. Inexperienced Bay misplaced a few of their star energy with Adams gone, leaving their participant props much less fascinating than final yr. Nonetheless, we’re looking for worth.
Let’s take a look at essentially the most intriguing Packers odds and props under.
- MVP
Aaron Rodgers +1000 - Aaron Rodgers regular-season passing yards
Over/Beneath 4,050.5 (-110) - Aaron Rodgers regular-season interceptions
Over 7.5 (+115)/Beneath 7.5 (-140) - AJ Dillon regular-season dashing yards
Over 810.5 (+105)/Beneath 810.5 (-135) - Jaire Alexander regular-season interceptions
Over 2.5 (+100)/Beneath 2.5 (-130)
It’s arduous to check Rodgers profitable MVP or LaFleur profitable Coach of the 12 months, contemplating the burnout impact that comes after a run like they’ve had. Successful 39 video games over three common seasons is spectacular, however Rodgers was fortunate to win MVP final yr. Then, the franchise had an embarrassing playoff loss within the Divisional Spherical.
There shall be Packers fatigue this season with regards to awards. There’s little Rodgers or LaFleur may do to shake that till they show pundits fallacious within the playoffs. These awards require the suitable narrative to win, and neither has the pathway to create that momentum to win.
As a substitute, I like the participant props provided. Let’s dive into the very best ones under.
Packers 2022 picks
- Packers over 11 wins: -110
- Packers to win the NFC North: -190
- Rodgers below 4,050.5 passing yards: -110
- Rodgers below 7.5 interceptions: -140
- Dillon over 810.5 dashing yards: +105
- Alexander below 2.5 interceptions: -130
Let’s begin with the workforce picks. The Packers have the 16th-ranked schedule, nevertheless it appears even simpler due to the way it’s damaged up. The Vikings and Lions shall be scrappy divisional video games. Nevertheless, the Packers nonetheless have the higher quarterback, protection, and training workers to depend on.
There’s no query the Packers will win the NFC North if Rodgers is wholesome. The traditional recipe of an growing older however environment friendly quarterback and an elite protection nonetheless pushes a workforce fairly far. It’ll work once more for the Packers in 2022.
The workforce’s win line can also be a simple over for me. For as a lot as I dislike the workforce buying and selling Adams away and the implications that has on their playoff upside, there’s a built-in margin for error in Inexperienced Bay’s game-by-game spreads. They will surpass the 11-game win whole even when they don’t win their coinflip strains.
The participant props are extra assorted. As a result of Rodgers has much less expertise round him, I’m taking the below on his workload. That may result in a stat line that extra resembles his 2019 totals when he posted 4,002 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions than his absurd numbers from 2020 and 2021.
LaFleur and the 38-year-old Rodgers could have their work reduce out for them with this receiving corps. The veteran trio of Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb, and Sammy Watkins is totally uninspiring. Rookies Watson and Romeo Doubs had important flaws in school, so the onus is on this workers and the gamers to turn into dependable choices all through the course of the season.
Rodgers may be at the next threat for extra interceptions with out Adams, however he hasn’t eclipsed seven interceptions since 2015, and earlier than that was as soon as since 2010. It’s not an accident he’s led the NFL in interception fee during the last 4 years and is the NFL’s finest at avoiding turnovers. That development will proceed in 2022.
The opposite offensive prop value grabbing is AJ Dillon’s dashing whole. As a result of Rodgers will throw much less, each working backs will see extra quantity. Dillon broke out in 2021 whereas Aaron Jones handled lingering well being points. Jones’ contract will be terminated after 2022, so the writing is on the wall for Dillion to proceed siphoning carries away from him.
Dillion totaled 803 yards final yr as he break up carries with Jones. With both a slight improve from his 11 carries a recreation or his 4.3 yards per carry, he’ll simply money in on the over. That’s a worthwhile wager for a +105 return.
Lastly, I like betting towards anomalies with interceptions. Turnovers for cornerbacks will be random, however Jaire Alexander has by no means been a ball hawk. He’s totaled solely 5 profession interceptions and not more than two in a season. Contemplating the Packers have a loaded secondary round him however solely a modest pass-rush in entrance of him, I like getting an affordable return on him persevering with his profession development.
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