NFL Week 1 – Week 1 is within the books and earlier than we flip the web page and deal with Week 2 it is time to take a team-by-team look throughout the league and see the place issues stand from a fantasy soccer perspective. Every week we’ll delve into the stats and headlines that matter to get you on top of things on every part it’s worthwhile to know. Week 1 was filled with its ordinary surprises, with rookie huge receivers shining, the Bears having extra pass-catchers than anticipated and a few high-value disappointments, sure we’re speaking about you Kyle Pitts, however the time to panic is not simply but.
Throughout Marquise Brown’s time in Baltimore, he was the unquestioned WR1, however he usually noticed much less consideration than Mark Andrews did from the protection. Now, in Arizona, Brown finds himself the clear object of defensive eyes, and with the Cardinals’ subsequent best choice showing to be Greg Dortch, Brown will proceed to see a number of consideration. The Cardinals offense was overmatched by a Chiefs protection that was anticipated to be beneath common towards the go, and after a Week 2 matchup with the Raiders, Brown will face a very powerful sport towards the Rams. If Brown would not present us efficiency in Week 2, it could be time to bench him going into Week 3.
Fantasy managers who took Kyle Pitts within the first three rounds of drafts hoped that by now he could be matchup-proof, however this wasn’t a straightforward matchup for Pitts, who has struggled towards New Orleans since coming into the league. In three video games towards the Saints, Pitts has seen 19 targets however solely turned that into seven receptions. While it is annoying for fantasy managers that Pitts hasn’t gotten extra touchdowns in his profession, he nonetheless boasted a 21.9% goal share in Week 1, and all of the expertise is there, it would simply take slightly longer to supply.
It has been fairly some time since we noticed the Ravens deploy their operating sport in a manner they’d like. The signing of Kenyan Drake telegraphed their ideas on Mike Davis and the opposite operating backs already on the roster, who managed a mixed 2.9 yards per carry throughout the preseason. Mike Davis wasn’t a good suggestion for fantasy earlier than this weekend, and now he is droppable. Drake may need higher days forward as he will get used to the frilly scheme the Ravens use, however this speeding assault hinges on J.Ok Dobbins’ profitable return. If that does not occur, it is wheels up on one other heavy-passing Ravens assault. This week they ranked second in Impartial Go Fee based on Hayden Winks of Underdog Fantasy.
For a number of years the Payments slot receiver has been a fantasy invaluable play with Josh Allen steadily concentrating on that space. Coming into 2022, experiences bounced backwards and forwards over whether or not Isaiah McKenzie or Jamison Crowder had the higher hand at that spot. Within the season opener, Crowder ran extra routes than McKenzie, however McKenzie noticed extra targets and acquired the landing. It appears unlikely that both will be capable to separate with out an harm to the opposite. Due to the Payments’ propensity to go the ball so usually, there could be room for each to be productive, nevertheless it’s not a straightforward option to make week to week. Fantasy managers could want to bench them this week and see how issues play out.
Many fantasy managers breathed a sigh of aid to see Christian McCaffrey again on the sphere wanting someplace near his previous self. While the success of this offense will come down partly to McCaffrey’s well being, it was fascinating to notice how condensed the passing sport was because the Panthers routinely favored the air assault over the bottom. With that in thoughts, it was slightly unusual to see that solely DJ Moore, Robbie Anderson, and Shi Smith ran routes on Baker Mayfield’s dropbacks. Maybe Terrace Marshall and Laviska Shenault can develop into a part of the plan shifting ahead, but when the passing sport stays concentrated, it’s miles simpler for us to method in fantasy. Anderson is price a waiver wire pickup, and so is Shi Smith in deeper leagues.
Fantasy managers informed themselves all Summer season lengthy that it won’t really feel good to draft the Bears pass-catchers, however at the least the passing sport could be condensed and we knew it might be virtually at all times Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet. Week 1 confirmed us that as fantasy managers we’d not at all times know what we’re speaking about. Mooney and Kmet put up a mixed stat line of 1 reception for 8 yards while Equanimeous St. Brown, Dante Pettis, and Byron Pringle all scored extra fantasy factors. Maybe it is only a product of a loopy sport, but when that passing assault is barely extra expanded, it could be tough for Mooney and Kmet to reside as much as expectations.
In video games, with out an appendix, Joe Burrow has been intercepted at the least 4 occasions … it is a very small pattern measurement of 1 sport, however what if he has misplaced his magic? The fact is that Burrow appeared like a quarterback who wanted some reps. And not using a preseason, and with barely any time in coaching camp, Burrow made uncharacteristic errors that price the Bengals the sport. Burrow faces the Cowboys (minus Dak Prescott) after which the Jets (minus Zach Wilson) within the subsequent two weeks. It is very exhausting to think about he would not rise up to hurry by these video games, however what’s price keeping track of is how usually he is nonetheless being sacked. In each 2020 and 2021 Burrow averaged 3.2 sacks per sport, which ranked top-three in each years, and he was sacked 5 occasions on Sunday. For the Bengals to essentially get the most effective out of Burrow, we’d want these sack figures to return down.
In my daily fantasy column previewing Week 1, I famous that Kareem Hunt has performed 28 profession video games with Nick Chubb throughout their time in Cleveland and averaged 14.2 PPR factors, and that was the right precursor to Sunday when each gamers scored over 15 factors. Hunt was undervalued by drafters coming into this season, and so long as Deshaun Watson is suspended, the Browns must depend on this tandem to remain in video games. Hunt is startable nearly each week going ahead.
With Dak Prescott present process surgical procedure for a fractured thumb, it appears doubtless that the Cowboys might want to lean heavier on a operating sport going ahead. The Cowboys’ already-thin huge receiver room will doubtless battle with the likes of Cooper Rush or Will Grier throwing them the ball. Ezekiel Elliott is in no way the participant he was a number of years in the past, however fantasy managers ought to search some consolation from the truth that he rushed for at the least 5 yards on 80% of his carries, while Tony Pollard managed simply 8 yards on six carries. It would get ugly, however Zeke’s fantasy output might enhance nonetheless.
Javonte Williams won’t have the every-down workload that may result in a legendary operating again season, however there are many causes for hope. Melvin Gordon noticed 13 speeding makes an attempt to Williams seven, however Williams noticed 12 targets in comparison with Gordon’s two. The Broncos appeared to be actively making an attempt to contain Williams with display screen passes usually and on one other day the place Williams would not fumble by the aim line, he is taking a look at a 25+-point sport in PPR codecs. Gordon will keep concerned closely so long as he is wholesome, nevertheless it’s clear Williams goes to outscore him dramatically in fantasy.
D’Andre Swift put in a career-high 144 speeding yards and completed the Week because the RB1 general, however his ceiling could be a lot greater if Jamaal Williams hadn’t vultured two landing runs from contained in the 5-yard line. If this continues, then it’s totally exhausting to see Swift being within the high 5 operating backs on the finish of the season. Williams, in the meantime, stays one of many best possible handcuffs in soccer and ought to be rostered in all codecs.
Inexperienced Bay Packers
Christian Watson virtually had the dream begin to his NFL profession earlier than inexplicably letting what would have been a 75-yard landing drop by his fingers. After that Watson was focused simply three extra occasions, and with the Packers struggling solely AJ Dillon had greater than 5 targets. This offense would not have the otherworldly ability of Davante Adams to depend on anymore, and the remaining receivers merely aren’t adequate to play to that customary. But when Rodgers can belief them and work to search out performs that assist them, then this offense could be nice down the stretch. For now, although, I would not play any of the receivers in fantasy until mandatory.
Dameon Pierce’s hype acquired out of hand quick throughout the summer season and by late August it wasn’t unusual to see him go within the first 4 rounds of drafts. On Sunday, managers who rostered Pierce had been rudely woke up when the Texans used him on simply 28% of snaps leading to fewer than 5 PPR factors. The Colts weren’t a straightforward matchup, however should you could not use Pierce out of the gate, when are you able to? Over the subsequent two video games, Pierce will face highway journeys towards the Broncos and Bears, which ought to present extra alternatives for the rookie to show himself. But when you can also make a commerce in redraft, it could be sensible.
Fantasy managers pushed Michael Pittman’s ADP up from the sixth spherical in March all the way in which to the mid-second by August. Exterior of Pittman, the Colts’ choices are restricted, and Pittman noticed a dominant goal share of 26.5% and ran a route 98.1% of the time. The Colts want Pittman to embrace being the No. 1 pass-catcher and to date, so good. Subsequent up, the Jaguars.
Jaguars followers would possibly really feel barely aggrieved to stroll away from Sunday’s sport with a loss, however there have been optimistic indicators nonetheless. Between Christian Kirk’s preseason look and Week 1, he has seen 20 targets and a mean 30.3% goal share. Lawrence has rightly latched onto Kirk being a strong security valve within the slot and will proceed to pepper targets to the place and make Kirk an every-week starter.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster stole the headlines with performances that earned over 20% crew goal shares, however Marquez Valdes-Scantling ran extra routes than both and apparently noticed a decrease common depth of goal (5.5 yards) than at any level with the Packers in 2021. If the Chiefs plan to make use of Valdes-Scantling everywhere in the discipline on this offense, quite than the deep-shot specialist the Packers made him, that might have upside and alter MVS from a “higher in finest ball” sort participant to at least one who could be rostered extra closely in redraft and dynasty.
Los Angeles Chargers
While the Panthers determined to make their passing tree very condensed, the identical cannot be mentioned for the Chargers, who completed the Raiders sport with seven gamers seeing 4 targets however not a single participant seeing greater than that. Keenan Allen picked up a hamstring harm after an awesome begin, and maybe that modified the sport plan, however fantasy managers can be dissatisfied after investing excessive draft capital in Mike Williams. Week 2’s matchup towards the Chiefs ought to present a greater alternative for Williams to be extra concerned, in addition to present us if the crew views Josh Palmer as adequate to see a much bigger workload. Gerald Everett noticed two targets contained in the pink zone and ought to be a nice alternative going ahead.
Los Angles Rams
With Cam Akers failing to impress towards the Payments, it appears honest to count on at the least a couple of weeks of Darrell Henderson main the crew in speeding alternatives. Henderson is presently rostered in solely 76% of Yahoo leagues, so irrespective of your format, test the waiver wire this week. In video games the place Henderson has averaged over 50% of the snaps, he has returned 14.4 PPR factors per sport. The Rams make the most of unfold formations so usually that Henderson steadily faces mild bins and favorable matchups. With video games towards Atlanta and Arizona arising, do not be afraid to ship out some commerce presents if Henderson is already rostered.
Las Vegas Raiders
It is time to cease worrying about elite huge receivers altering groups. Davante Adams appeared fully at residence within the Raiders offense and dominated with a 48.6% crew goal share, and he had the third-highest air-yard share amongst receivers this week. It could be far more durable to make selections with different Raiders, although, and till we see proof Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller can each put up factors alongside Adams, it could be sensible to bench Renfrow. Regardless of seeing an equivalent goal share to Waller (17.1%), Renfrow noticed far much less worth within the targets thrown his manner.
It was disappointing however not stunning to see Mike Gesicki out-snapped and out-targeted by Durham Smythe. When the crew franchise-tagged Gesicki, it appeared sufficient of a vote of confidence in him that fantasy managers stored his ADP within the 120 to 140 vary a lot of the summer season. Gesicki ran half as many routes as he has averaged during the last two seasons, and if he cannot discover a strategy to make himself extra related in Mike McDaniel’s scheme, then he’ll develop into droppable in a short time. If you could find a greater choice on the waiver wire, you need to make the swap.
All summer season lengthy we heard Justin Jefferson hype himself up, and apparently he ought to have gone even earlier. Jefferson has scored 20-plus PPR factors in 41% of his 34 fantasy-relevant video games. We’re witnessing a very particular participant.
New England Patriots
Because the summer season wore on, it appeared that Rhamondre Stevenson may need the chance to be on the stronger facet of any Patriots backfield-by-committee, however as is usually the case, issues look far totally different to our expectations. Ty Montgomery recovered from a camp harm to guide the backfield in fantasy factors per contact (2.1) and Stevenson ran the least routes of the three-man committee. The Patriots had been behind all through a lot of the sport and it was disappointing to see Stevenson no more concerned. If Mac Jones’ again harm retains him out for a interval, that could be one thing we now have to get used to. Montgomery is price an affordable waiver pickup in very deep leagues.
New Orleans Saints
When Alvin Kamara prevented a suspension for the 2022 season, fantasy managers breathed a sigh of aid and pushed his ADP up draft boards. Kamara responded with a disappointing season opener. The offseason discuss round Kamara centered round how fantasy-worthy he could be with Jameis Winston, however the actual challenge could be elsewhere. Since Mark Ingram returned to the crew in Week 8 of 2021, Kamara has averaged 3.00 receptions per sport when Ingram has been lively. In video games that Ingram misses, that jumps to 4.11. This is not restricted to receptions both. Kamara’s PPR factors drop by over a 3rd when Ingram is lively, from 20.6 all the way down to 12.8. Ingram appeared wholesome and ran nicely yesterday, which ought to concern fantasy managers who’ve Kamara on their groups.
New York Giants
Not even a sometimes iffy efficiency from Daniel Jones can dampen the spirits of Giants followers after Saquon Barkley put up his most fantasy factors (33.4) since Week 16 of 2019, and the fourth-most of his profession. Barkley’s lengthy runs stole the headlines, however seeing Barkley lead the crew with a whopping 33% goal share ought to give fantasy managers religion that he’s going for use as he ought to be.
New York Jets
Michael Carter has the slight edge on Breece Corridor in the interim, out-snapping, out-targeting, and out-producing the Spherical 1 rookie, however while Joe Flacco begins it won’t be too fairly. Carter completed the week with 17 PPR factors, and Corey Davis was the one different Jets participant to surpass 12. The video games do not get any simpler for New York with the Browns, Bengals, and Steelers finishing their AFC North tour within the subsequent three weeks. Carter and Elijah Moore would possibly retain worth with Flacco’s dink-and-dunk nature, however they’re exhausting to belief and fantasy managers would possibly want to look elsewhere if doable.
The Eagles acquired off to an explosive begin, however one participant was missing within the field rating. Regardless of operating extra routes than A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith noticed 4 catchless targets. The zero in your fantasy groups is a painful expertise, and one I felt closely this weekend, however the one manner is up from right here for Smith. This was Smith’s first goose egg of his profession and over the subsequent six weeks, the Eagles have favorable matchups that embrace Washington, Jacksonville, and the Cardinals. Higher days can be coming.
A lot of coaching camp was spent debating simply how a lot “dawg” George Pickens had inside him. In the meantime, many individuals talked themselves out of drafting Diontae Johnso,n believing his manufacturing was a product of Ben Roethlisberger quite than considering it may need been Johnson elevating Roethlisberger’s sport. With the run sport stuttering, Johnson noticed a 32.4% crew goal share and led the crew in targets and receptions. The Steelers could be an unpleasant offense this week and there could also be extra stutters forward, however Johnson ought to have your religion virtually each week till he reveals us in a different way.
San Francisco 49ers
There can be days for judging Trey Lance harshly, nevertheless it appears slightly unfair to take action on when the pair of second-year quarterbacks had been requested to play in horrendous circumstances. Lance struggled extra with throws nearer to the road of scrimmage that layup artist Jimmy Garoppolo made his bread and butter, however when the ball is moist can we blame Lance for not getting the ball out shortly? The Niners offensive line actually did not assist issues permitting strain on 38.2% of dropbacks, which was tenth highest within the league. Fantasy managers will not be pleased with a measly output, however so long as Lance continues to run the ball, higher days ought to be forward.
Throughout Geno Smith’s 2021 begins, Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf had been targetted on 59.4% of his passing makes an attempt, on Monday Evening Soccer they counted for 39.2%. Maybe Geno is extra comfy on this Seattle offense now that it has been constructed round him and he is not enjoying because the backup, but when Metcalf and Lockett do not see a rise going ahead it’ll make them very touchdown-dependant for fantasy, while being a part of a crew that doubtless will not rating too many touchdowns every week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It appears a very long time in the past since Leonard Fournette’s weight was a consider his ADP dropping. Regardless of the priority concerning the Buccaneers offensive line, Fournette was spectacular towards the Cowboys, speeding for 127 yards, greater than any quantity he racked up in 2021. Rachaad White is a promising prospect, however when Fournette is enjoying like this there isn’t a impetus to offer the rookie sport time. Fournette was drafted because the RB12 on Underdog Fantasy this summer season, and if he retains a stranglehold on this job, he would possibly appear to be a cut price for the second yr operating.
After an offseason when Treylon Burks struggled, it was a nice shock to see Burks have the crew’s second-most catches and put up a powerful 4.2 yards per route run. Extra spectacular maybe was the debut of fifth-round receiver Kyle Philips, who led the crew in goal share (29%) and yards (66). Ryan Tannehill has by no means been afraid of a dink-and-dunk choice, and with Phillips operating 60% of his routes from the slot, he figures to steadily be in Tannehill’s imaginative and prescient. In common fantasy leagues, Philips continues to be slightly little bit of a threat, however in deeper leagues, with a sport at Buffalo, the Titans may very well be pushed right into a sport script that sees Phillips used usually.
The Indianapolis Colts noticed sufficient of the unhealthy facet of Carson Wentz to surrender on him after only one season, however Week 1 was a reminder of what Wentz can do when issues click on for him. Wentz handed for 4 touchdowns for the primary time since Week 14 of the 2017 season and totaled 27.7 fantasy factors, which was good for the QB3 end on the week. While the turnovers had been ugly, Wentz has strong weapons in Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel, who might assist him have his best fantasy season in years.